Taleb’s Fooled by Randomness Page

Nassim Taleb publishes a useful website that includes a number of useful articles following up on his wonderful book, Fooled by Randomness. His latest is: The Scandal of Prediction (PDF):

“My major hobby is teasing people who take themselves & the quality of their knowledge too seriously & those who don’t have the guts to sometimes say: I don’t know….” (You may not be able to change the world but can at least get some entertainment & make a living out of the epistemic arrogance of the human race).

The Cost of Online Anonymity

Dan Simmons:

After 10 years in the business, Anonymizer has two million active users. The US government pays it to promote the service in China and Iran in order to help promote free speech.
But these programs are becoming popular in the West too.
The software encrypts all your requests for webpages. Anonymizer’s servers then automatically gather the content on your behalf and send it back to you.
No humans are involved and the company does not keep records of who requests what.
However, there is some censorship. Anonymizer does not support anonymous uploading to the web, and it blocks access to material that would be illegal under US law.

A Bit of Cold War Reading from the CIA: Tolkachev

Barry G. Royden:

On 20 September 1985, international wire service reports carried a statement distributed by the official Soviet news agency TASS that one A. G. Tolkachev, whom it described as a staff member at one of Moscow’s research institutes, had been arrested the previous June trying to pass secret materials of a defensive nature to the United States. Subsequent news stories said Tolkachev was an electronics expert at a military aviation institute in Moscow who was compromised by former CIA officer Edward Lee Howard.

In October 1985, The Washington Post ran a story that described Tolkachev as “one of CIA’s most valuable human assets in the Soviet Union.” According to FBI affidavits related to the Howard espionage case that were made public, Tolkachev had provided information on Soviet avionics, cruise missiles, and other technologies. The Soviets subsequently publicly confirmed that they had executed Tolkachev in 1986 for “high treason.”

Fascinating and well worth reading.

“Some Rights Have to Erode…”

BBC:

“MI5 has recently let it be known that it is in favour of making telephone intercept evidence admissible in court. Previously the intelligence and security services had expressed concern such that evidence might reveal operational details. Meanwhile, Home Secretary Charles Clarke has been calling for EU states to keep mobile phone and e-mail records for longer, to help fight terrorism and crime.”

Bud Selig Interview

Tim Gutowski:

What were the disappointments? Some controversies that I found disappointing in terms of human behavior. They tried to put a jail next to the ballpark … putting a jail next to a ballpark isn’t exactly an entertainment complex. And then the whole stadium controversy. And, look, I understand taxation. But here we are trying to keep baseball in Milwaukee … and it happens in a lot of places, this is not the only place it happens, but the Machiavellian behavior was just sad. And someday when I write a book I’ll describe it as it’s never been described. The personal abuse that the ownership took, I took, my daughter took, the organization took, baseball took — was inexcusable. And today, well how bad is it? Milwaukee has a Major League team for the next two generations. … It’s a great tribute to a lot of people. … Will Milwaukee in the future be a better place for your children and grandchildren? You bet it will.

I appreciate Bud’s gumption in making baseball happen. BUT, I think the location (should have been downtown – see Denver and San Francisco) and process that lead to Miller Park was a big mistake.