{"id":11877,"date":"2023-05-28T01:05:00","date_gmt":"2023-05-28T07:05:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.zmetro.com\/?p=11877"},"modified":"2023-05-28T08:59:12","modified_gmt":"2023-05-28T14:59:12","slug":"5-28","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.zmetro.com\/?p=11877","title":{"rendered":"5.28"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>DRAKON is a <a href=\"https:\/\/drakonhub.com\/en\/drakon\">visual language<\/a> from the aerospace industry for representing algorithms, processes, and procedures. The goal of DRAKON is to make procedures easy to comprehend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Some context is warranted. First, the statement that SVB and SBNY were the second and fourth biggest bank failures is <a href=\"https:\/\/storage.pardot.com\/279272\/1684417913D272NchZ\/MOTM_5.20.2023.pdf\">only true if we do not adjust for inflation or scale the failures relative to GDP<\/a>. Once we take inflation into account and also the size of the bank\u2019s deposits relative to GDP, we find that Depression-era failures were substantially bigger.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The former Union Bank building in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hoover.org\/research\/san-francisco-falls-further-abyss-office-values-plunge-75-percent\">heart of San Francisco\u2019s financial district<\/a>, located at 350 California Street, was auctioned off last week. The winning bid was $65 million, roughly 75 percent less on a per-square-foot basis than comparable building sales from just before the pandemic. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Behind the <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2023\/05\/18\/china-belt-road-loans-pakistan-sri-lanka-africa-collapse-economic-instability\/\">scenes<\/a> is China\u2019s reluctance to forgive debt and its extreme secrecy about how much money it has loaned and on what terms, which has kept other major lenders from stepping in to help. On top of that is the recent <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"sc-bcXHqe kzcJbQ styledLinkColor \" href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/discovery-insurance\/\" target=\"_blank\">discovery<\/a> that borrowers have been required to put cash in hidden escrow accounts that push China to the front of the line of creditors to be paid.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kinzer wrote that commentary for <em>The Boston Globe<\/em>; I suspect <em>The New York Times<\/em>, his old employer, <a href=\"https:\/\/mattbivens.substack.com\/p\/journalist-goes-to-ukraine-asks-wrong\">wanted no part<\/a> of his heresy. You can commonly find that sort of thing on Substack or Twitter, but only rarely does it slip past the goaltenders of our national media.  Which brings me to the <a href=\"https:\/\/mattbivens.substack.com\/p\/thoughts-on-the-new-york-times-advertisement\">full-page advertisement<\/a> just published in the print <em>New York Times <\/em>\u2014 print only! \u2014 that calls on the United States to work to end the war as quickly as possible <em>through diplomacy.<\/em>Signatories include several high-ranking U.S. military officers, Ronald Reagan\u2019s former U.S. ambassador to Moscow Jack Matlock, and the ubiquitous Columbia University economist Jeffrey Sachs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe are still training Ukrainians <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/geopolitical\/seymour-hersh-something-else-cooking-ukraine\">how to fly our F-16s that will be shot down by Russia as soon as they get into the war zone<\/a>. The mainstream press is dedicated to Biden and the war and Biden is still talking about the Great Satan in Moscow while the Russian economy is doing great. Putin can stay where he is\u201d\u2014in power\u2014\u201cdespite his failure to wipe Ukraine off the map as an independent state. And he thought he would win the war with just one airborne division\u201d\u2014a sardonic reference to Russia\u2019s failed effort in the first days of the war to seize a vital airport by parachuting in an attack force.<\/p>\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">A lot of people are misunderstanding my poing about ChatGPT and <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/AI?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#AI<\/a> in general.<br \/>I am not saying it is useless. All I am saying is that it is no replacement for &amp; no threat to *real* experts.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1660617248506105857?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 22, 2023<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">There&#8217;s ~5.5k Thai restaurants in the US but only 300k people. Why?<\/p>\n<p>The Thai govt offers up to $3M in loans for nationals to start restaurants abroad since 2002. ~10k have opened abroad since. Max fixed cost = $30B.<\/p>\n<p>Tourism went up 6.5x in value to $65B netting +$55B recurring<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Deedy (@debarghya_das) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/debarghya_das\/status\/1660462230184546305?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 22, 2023<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n\n\n<p>The changing legislative landscape of the U.S. wine market provides a scenario to examine th<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cambridge.org\/core\/services\/aop-cambridge-core\/content\/view\/EDACC873AB54E7875B01D14D78ED03A0\/S1931436122000499a.pdf\/the-impact-of-direct-to-consumer-shipping-laws-on-the-number-and-size-distribution-of-us-wineries.pdf\">e effect of <\/a>regulation on the size distribution of firms. Using the variation across states and time in the sum of in-state and out-of-state adult populations between 2002\u20132017, and a difference in difference-style empirical model, I examine how restrictions on Direct to Consumer (DTC) sales impact the number of establishments and the employ- ment at wineries. I find that the expansion of the potential wine market by 10 M adults caused about a 3.5% increase in the number of wineries. While reduced DTC restrictions explain growth in the number of wineries, I find no effect of lessened restrictions on the number of winery employees, though there is evidence of a lagged effect. Additionally, I find that the growth of smaller wineries substantially outpaces that of larger wineries when regulations are lessened. These results suggest that regulatory barriers in particular indus- tries may allow states to maintain an artificial size distribution.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Flynn that year hired Fenn, who <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/how-americas-largest-restaurant-franchisee-decides-when-to-raise-prices-178d3295\">earned a Ph.D. in neuroscience and was working in consulting at McKinsey.<\/a> They recruited other industry pricing and marketing specialists to build a nine-person team. Flynn invested in computer servers to warehouse reams of data.   Data scientists collected prices for individual items across Flynn\u2019s restaurants, then layered on variables that could impact sales, such as bad weather or a change in restaurant hours. They began regularly monitoring prices for competitor restaurants within a three-mile radius of their stores.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The problem for Scott is that while Ellison is very driven by genuinely held beliefs and cultivated relationships, it\u2019s not clear whether he has a broader strategy with these big bets. After all, why did Ellison give $1 billion to finance <strong>Elon Musk<\/strong>\u2019s takeover of Twitter? Because \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/puck.news\/the-larry-ellison-election\/\">it would be lots of fun<\/a>,\u201d as he texted Musk at the time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Illinois and the other Great Lakes states fought for decades over how much lake water should flow through the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jsonline.com\/story\/news\/2023\/05\/22\/how-chicago-just-sold-lake-michigan-water-to-joliet-35-miles-away\/70232563007\/\">backwards river<\/a>. And in 1967 the Supreme Court set a daily water limit of 2.1 billion gallons per day, which since then has lowered water levels of Lakes Michigan and Huron by 2.5 inches. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sort of like the old <strong><em>Star Trek<\/em><\/strong> episode \u201cThe Ultimate Computer\u201d on massive steroids, <strong><em>Colossus <\/em><\/strong>is genuinely gripping as the coldly analytical Dr. Forbin begins to break down from the strain of trying to get his all-powerful technological genie back in the bottle, with terrifying results. Briskly directed by Joseph Sargent and written by James Bridges, <strong><em>Colossus <\/em><\/strong>was based on a novel by D.F. Jones. Pity we never got to film versions of Jones\u2019 two sequels, in which a cult grows around Colossus, who is eventually <a href=\"https:\/\/www.denofgeek.com\/movies\/most-underrated-sci-fi-movies-of-the-1970s\/\">deactivated and then rebooted<\/a> when the Earth is threatened by an invasion from Mars.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Using <a href=\"https:\/\/infrastructure-as-code.com\/book\/2021\/01\/02\/pull-requests.html\">pull requests<\/a> for code changes by your own team members is like having your family members go through an airport security checkpoint to enter your home. It\u2019s a costly solution to a different problem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cBien,&#8221; the stockman whispered.  &#8220;I am a cattle buyer.  I have to have my <a href=\"http:\/\/www.lrgaf.org\/journeys\/remme.htm\">funds in gold<\/a>.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Best new car deals right now:<\/p>\n<p>(h\/t RealCarTips) <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/6kpCvGIxcU\">pic.twitter.com\/6kpCvGIxcU<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 CarDealershipGuy (@GuyDealership) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/GuyDealership\/status\/1661027716903186432?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 23, 2023<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">I can tell you why DeSantis is going to use twitter. I was a GOP Chief of Staff in the House during the 117th Congress. After Youngkin won the VA Governorship different elements of his team spoke to us all to help us learn the lessons of his campaign. His comms people&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Kenneth Monahan (@Foudroyant) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Foudroyant\/status\/1661087365736087556?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 23, 2023<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n\n\n<p>Not Even a Recession:  The Great German Gas <a href=\"https:\/\/www.econtribute.de\/RePEc\/ajk\/ajkpbs\/ECONtribute_PB_048_2023_EN.pdf\">Debate<\/a> in Retrospect<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>In fact, it\u2019s about <strong>everything<\/strong>. Look at the world from the <a href=\"https:\/\/edconway.substack.com\/p\/watching-paint-dry\">vantage point of car paint and you begin to see various strands<\/a> of the 20th century storyline unfurling: the early days of mass production and the modern factory, the ascent of mass consumption, the rise and fall of economic growth, all the way through to today\u2019s \u201cproductivity puzzle\u201d economists are trying to get their heads around.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Splinter the CIA, NSA, and FBI into a thousand pieces and scatter them into the winds. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/mDRYX1LFld\">https:\/\/t.co\/mDRYX1LFld<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 jack (@jack) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/jack\/status\/1661201155127492609?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 24, 2023<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n\n\n<p>On Reddit, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tabletmag.com\/sections\/israel-middle-east\/articles\/who-does-saudi-arabia-better-google-reddit-katherine-dee\">Saudis laughed<\/a> at anxious American tourists asking if their social media would be audited upon arrival (\u201clol u think KSA is a police state?\u201d one user retorted, \u201cwe don\u2019t care about some random american, just have fun\u201d). On TikTok, middle schoolers showed off trendy sneakers and weekend trips to Al-\u2019Ula, an ancient Arabic oasis city near Medina, occasionally coming into the camera\u2019s view to ask their audience which international school they thought was the most toxic. European expatriates, mostly women, vlogged from big cities like Jeddah and Riyadh about how moving to Saudi Arabia had liberated them.<\/p>\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">YOUR REACTION: Black man says, &#8220;There were about 3700 free blacks who owned 12,000 slaves, black slaves. The question is, do the descendants of those free blacks who owned black slaves, do they pay (reparations as being pushed by <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/GavinNewsom?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@GavinNewsom<\/a>)?<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Blacks really benefited more the\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/KwjVeHb5FK\">pic.twitter.com\/KwjVeHb5FK<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Simon Ateba (@simonateba) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/simonateba\/status\/1661352510601281536?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 24, 2023<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n\n\n<p>The company is mining flight data to assess and identify <a href=\"https:\/\/www.seattletimes.com\/business\/boeing-aerospace\/boeing-works-to-absorb-lessons-from-the-max-crashes-and-improve-safety\/\">accident risks<\/a> before anything goes wrong. And it\u2019s preparing an internal education campaign for employees \u2014 from the executive suites to the engineering design offices to the factory floor \u2014 about lesson learned from the crashes.<\/p>\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Worried your most personal data might get into the wrong hands? The Health app on iPhone helps you control who sees your health data\u2014and who doesn\u2019t. Because when it comes to your health, privacy matters. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/vNEAa705Ux\">https:\/\/t.co\/vNEAa705Ux<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Ricky Bloomfield (@rickybloomfield) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/rickybloomfield\/status\/1661389451644289025?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 24, 2023<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n\n\n<p> Kids and adults of all ages have been folding and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foldnfly.com\/lounge\/national-paper-airplane-day.php\">flying paper airplanes<\/a> for more than 150 years. National Paper Airplane Day is an unofficial holiday celebrated every May 26th to bring some attention to this enjoyable pastime. We want you to have a ton of fun on this day, so please continue reading for suggestions of paper airplane activities and games that you can play with your family and friends.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Scout dates back to the late 1950s, when Ted Or\u00adnas, an auto de\u00adsigner for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/volkswagen-bets-an-old-suv-can-help-it-win-over-americans-85319f04\">In\u00adternational Har\u00advester<\/a>, de\u00adsigned the com\u00adpa\u00adny\u2019s first Scout, a four-wheel-drive recre\u00adational ve\u00adhi\u00adcle, some\u00adthing that didn\u2019t ex\u00adist at the time.  A month later, South Car\u00adolina law\u00admak\u00aders ap\u00adproved $1.3 bil\u00adlion to help VW build the plant. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In many ways, the Twit\u00adter event was <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/move-over-mars-elon-musk-turns-his-attention-to-2024-white-house-race-39f873e9\">clas\u00adsic Musk<\/a>. It was hugely hyped, not fully baked and the talk of the in\u00adter\u00adnet af\u00adter\u00adward. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A critic of the en\u00advi\u00adron\u00admen\u00adtal, so\u00adcial and cor\u00adpo\u00adrate-gov\u00ader\u00adnance, or ESG, move\u00adment, Ra\u00admaswamy wants to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/the-anti-woke-presidential-candidate-who-wants-to-crush-esg-and-gut-the-fed-a486fdc\">re\u00adscind<\/a> a Biden ad\u00admin\u00adis\u00adtra\u00adtion rule that al\u00adlows re\u00adtire\u00adment-plan man\u00adagers to con\u00adsider cli\u00admate change and other ESG ac\u00adtors when they choose in\u00advest\u00adments. He is push\u00ading to cut more than 90% of the staff at the Fed\u00aderal Re\u00adserve and to pre\u00advent it from is\u00adsu\u00ading a digi\u00adtal cur\u00adrency. He op\u00adposes reg\u00adu\u00adlat\u00ading bit\u00adcoin as a se\u00adcu\u00adrity and taxes on bit\u00adcoin min\u00aders. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In this context, the next iteration of the global security, political and economic system <a href=\"https:\/\/lmc.icds.ee\/lennart-meri-lecture-by-fiona-hill\/\">will not be framed by the United States alone<\/a>. The reality is <em>already<\/em> something else. It is <em>not<\/em> an \u201corder,\u201d which inherently points to a hierarchy, and perhaps not even a \u201c<em>dis<\/em>order.\u201d A range of countries are pushing and pulling in line with their own priorities to produce new arrangements.  We in the transatlantic community may need to develop some new terminology as well as adapt our foreign policy approaches to deal with horizontal networks of overlapping and sometimes competing structures. We have entered what Samir Saran, President of India\u2019s Observer Research Foundation, has dubbed the age of \u201climited liability partnerships.\u201d The regionalization of security, trade and political alliances complicates our national security strategies and policy planning, but it may also intersect with our priorities in useful ways if we can be flexible and creative\u2014rather than simply resisting and responding when things go in directions we don\u2019t like. As British security expert Neil Melvin has suggested, we should embrace the idea of \u201c<em>mini<\/em>-lateralism.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mr. Kissinger leaves no doubt that he be\u00adlieves in a Pax Amer\u00adi\u00adcana and in the need \u201cto de\u00adfend the ar\u00adeas of the world es\u00adsen\u00adtial for Amer\u00adi\u00adcan and de\u00admo\u00adc\u00adra\u00adtic sur\u00advival.\u201d But the abil\u00adity to \u201cex\u00ade\u00adcute it po\u00adlit\u00adi\u00adcally,\u201d he says, \u201chas de\u00adclined sharply, and that is our over\u00adrid\u00ading prob\u00adlem now.\u201d He as\u00adcribes this po\u00adlit\u00adi\u00adcal weak\u00adness to a de\u00adcline in be\u00adlief in the U.S. in its own his\u00adtor\u00adi\u00adcal am\u00adbi\u00adtions and in\u00adsti\u00adtu\u00adtions. \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/the-great-strategist-henry-kissinger-turns-100-china-ukraine-realpolitik-81b6f3bb\">There\u2019s no ele\u00adment of pride and di\u00adrec\u00adtion and pur\u00adpose left,<\/a>\u201d he laments, as Amer\u00adi\u00adcan lead\u00aders grap\u00adple with angst gen\u00ader\u00adated by events of \u201c300 years ago.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Great blue heron effortlessly glides in and makes a near perfect landing on razor shep oysters. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/alQ8UffSWW\">pic.twitter.com\/alQ8UffSWW<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Mark Smith Photography (@marktakesphoto) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/marktakesphoto\/status\/1662814521277423622?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 28, 2023<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p> <script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>DRAKON is a visual language from the aerospace industry for representing algorithms, processes, and procedures. The goal of DRAKON is to make procedures easy to comprehend. Some context is warranted. First, the statement that SVB and SBNY were the second and fourth biggest bank failures is only true if we do not adjust for inflation [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.zmetro.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11877"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.zmetro.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.zmetro.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.zmetro.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.zmetro.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=11877"}],"version-history":[{"count":41,"href":"http:\/\/www.zmetro.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11877\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11918,"href":"http:\/\/www.zmetro.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11877\/revisions\/11918"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.zmetro.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=11877"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.zmetro.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=11877"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.zmetro.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=11877"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}